Thursday, June 28, 2018

Critical Comparison: Moelis & Co (MC) versus Monroe Capital (MRCC)

Moelis & Co (NYSE: MC) and Monroe Capital (NASDAQ:MRCC) are both finance companies, but which is the superior investment? We will contrast the two companies based on the strength of their valuation, profitability, risk, institutional ownership, earnings, dividends and analyst recommendations.

Dividends

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Moelis & Co pays an annual dividend of $1.88 per share and has a dividend yield of 3.2%. Monroe Capital pays an annual dividend of $1.40 per share and has a dividend yield of 10.3%. Moelis & Co pays out 82.1% of its earnings in the form of a dividend, suggesting it may not have sufficient earnings to cover its dividend payment in the future. Monroe Capital pays out 100.0% of its earnings in the form of a dividend, suggesting it may not have sufficient earnings to cover its dividend payment in the future. Moelis & Co has raised its dividend for 3 consecutive years.

Earnings and Valuation

This table compares Moelis & Co and Monroe Capital’s top-line revenue, earnings per share and valuation.

Gross Revenue Price/Sales Ratio Net Income Earnings Per Share Price/Earnings Ratio
Moelis & Co $684.61 million 4.81 $29.40 million $2.29 25.76
Monroe Capital $51.11 million 5.36 $12.15 million $1.40 9.66

Moelis & Co has higher revenue and earnings than Monroe Capital. Monroe Capital is trading at a lower price-to-earnings ratio than Moelis & Co, indicating that it is currently the more affordable of the two stocks.

Profitability

This table compares Moelis & Co and Monroe Capital’s net margins, return on equity and return on assets.

Net Margins Return on Equity Return on Assets
Moelis & Co 6.49% 50.44% 23.16%
Monroe Capital 20.30% 10.16% 5.89%

Institutional & Insider Ownership

66.6% of Moelis & Co shares are owned by institutional investors. Comparatively, 26.3% of Monroe Capital shares are owned by institutional investors. 29.9% of Moelis & Co shares are owned by company insiders. Comparatively, 1.9% of Monroe Capital shares are owned by company insiders. Strong institutional ownership is an indication that hedge funds, endowments and large money managers believe a stock is poised for long-term growth.

Analyst Recommendations

This is a summary of current ratings and target prices for Moelis & Co and Monroe Capital, as reported by MarketBeat.

Sell Ratings Hold Ratings Buy Ratings Strong Buy Ratings Rating Score
Moelis & Co 0 2 3 0 2.60
Monroe Capital 0 1 2 0 2.67

Moelis & Co presently has a consensus target price of $57.80, suggesting a potential downside of 2.03%. Monroe Capital has a consensus target price of $15.50, suggesting a potential upside of 14.56%. Given Monroe Capital’s stronger consensus rating and higher probable upside, analysts clearly believe Monroe Capital is more favorable than Moelis & Co.

Volatility and Risk

Moelis & Co has a beta of 1.73, suggesting that its share price is 73% more volatile than the S&P 500. Comparatively, Monroe Capital has a beta of 0.62, suggesting that its share price is 38% less volatile than the S&P 500.

Summary

Moelis & Co beats Monroe Capital on 12 of the 17 factors compared between the two stocks.

About Moelis & Co

Moelis & Company, an investment bank, provides strategic and financial advisory services in the United States and internationally. It advises clients in the areas of mergers and acquisitions, recapitalizations and restructurings, capital markets advisory, and other corporate finance matters. The company offers its services to public multinational corporations, governments, financial sponsors, middle market private companies, and individual entrepreneurs. It has strategic alliances with Sumitomo Mitsui Banking Corporation and SMBC Nikko Securities Inc.; and Alfaro, D谩vila y R铆os, S.C. Moelis & Company was founded in 2007 and is headquartered in New York, New York.

About Monroe Capital

Monroe Capital Corporation is a closed-end, non-diversified management investment company. The Company is a specialty finance company focused on providing financing primarily to lower middle-market companies in the United States and Canada. The Company’s investment objective is to maximize the total return to its stockholders in the form of current income and capital appreciation primarily through investments in senior, unitranche and junior secured debt, and unsecured subordinated debt and equity. The Company provides customized financing solutions focused primarily on senior secured, junior secured and unitranche (a combination of senior secured and junior secured debt in the same facility) debt, and subordinated debt and equity, including equity co-investments in preferred and common stock and warrants. The Company’s investment activities are managed by its investment advisor, Monroe Capital BDC Advisors, LLC (MC Advisors).

Monday, June 25, 2018

Long-Term Investors Take Note -- These 5 Big Pharma Companies Have the Best Pipelines

Want to know how to succeed in investing? Focus on the future, not the past.

For pharmaceutical companies, the future can be found in their pipelines. These companies spend billions of dollars over many years to discover, develop, and hopefully one day market new drugs. It's not an easy task, however, to accurately predict how successful pipeline candidates might be.

That difficulty hasn't stopped market research firm EvaluatePharma from trying, though. EvaluatePharma recently published a list of the drugmakers with the projected highest value creation from pipeline�products between 2018 and 2024. Here's why Novartis (NYSE:NVS), AbbVie (NYSE:ABBV), Celgene (NASDAQ:CELG), AstraZeneca (NYSE:AZN), and Amgen (NASDAQ:AMGN) ranked at the top.

Five test tubes containing increasing amounts of green liquid from left to right with a green arrow curved upward in the background

Image source: Getty Images.

1. Novartis

Novartis is projected to generate accumulated sales of $22.9 billion from its pipeline products over the next seven years. The Swiss drugmaker claims more than 200 programs in clinical development, with�brolucizumab and siponimod�standing out as especially great candidates.

Brolucizumab could be launched in 2019 for treating�neovascular age-related macular degeneration (nAMD), if approved. The drug's performance in phase 3 clinical studies indicates that it could give Regeneron's�blockbuster Eylea a run for its money.

Siponimod is Novartis' late-stage candidate targeting treatment of secondary progressive multiple sclerosis (MS). The company also hopes to launch the drug in the U.S. next year.

Acquisitions and partnerships should also bolster Novartis' fortunes. The drugmaker's purchase of AveXis in April 2018 brought promising spinal muscular atrophy gene therapy AVXS-101 into the pipeline. Novartis' collaboration with Amgen on migraine drug Aimovig also should pay off in a major way.

2. AbbVie

EvaluatePharma thinks that AbbVie's pipeline products will accumulate sales of $21.2 billion by 2024. Three candidates look especially promising -- elagolix, risankizumab, and upadacitinib.

AbbVie expects Food and Drug Administration (FDA) approval for elagolix in treating endometriosis by the third quarter of this year. The date slipped by three months due to the FDA requesting more time to review additional data from liver-function tests. AbbVie also is evaluating elagolix for treatment of uterine fibroids.

Humira currently claims the title as the top-selling drug in the world and probably still will in 2024. However, AbbVie thinks that risankizumab and upadacitinib could be worthy successors to Humira. Both drugs are projected to generate sales topping $2 billion by 2024.

3. Celgene

Celgene moved up six spots from EvaluatePharma's 2017 ranking to take the No. 3 position for big-pharma companies with the strongest pipelines. The biotech's pipeline products are projected to generate revenue of $15.4 billion between 2018 and 2024.

Although Celgene experienced an embarrassing setback with the FDA rejecting the submission for ozanimod earlier this year, the drug should still be a big winner in treating multiple sclerosis. Celgene expects to submit ozanimod again in Q1 of 2019.

JCAR017 (also known as lico-cel) and luspatercept are two other highly prized pipeline candidates for Celgene. EvaluatePharma ranks cancer-fighting cell therapy JCAR017 in the top 10 most valuable pipeline assets, while blood disease drug luspatercept took the No. 15 position on the list.

4. AstraZeneca

EvaluatePharma moved AstraZeneca down a couple of spots from last year's list after the British drugmaker experienced a pipeline setback with a combination of Imfinzi and�tremelimumab as a third-line therapy for non-small cell lung cancer.�And the ranking came out prior to AstraZeneca's and Lilly's recent late-stage failure with�experimental Alzheimer's disease drug�lanabecestat.

However, AstraZeneca still has a loaded pipeline that EvaluatePharma projects will rake in $14.8 billion in total sales over the next seven years. The market research firm especially likes the prospects for roxadustat and ZS-9 (known now by its brand name Lokelma).

Roxadustat is an anemia drug being developed by AstraZeneca and partner FibroGen. The two companies plan to file for approval of the drug in the first half of 2019.�Lokelma won FDA approval in May for treating hyperkalaemia�(high potassium levels).

5. Amgen

Amgen didn't even make the top 10 on EvaluatePharma's 2017 pipeline ranking. Now, though, the big biotech's pipeline is projected to generate accumulated sales of $13.7 billion between 2018 and 2024. What happened to boost Amgen's prospects?

For one thing, Amgen struck a deal in September 2017 with AbbVie that allows Amjevita, a biosimilar to Humira, to go on sale in Europe later this year. Amjevita also will begin competing in the U.S. market in 2023. In addition, Amgen's pipeline includes several other promising biosimilars.

As mentioned earlier, Amgen and Novartis also have a big potential winner with migraine drug Aimovig, which won FDA approval in May. EvaluatePharma projects the drug will make nearly $1.2 billion by 2024.�

Are they buys?

There are two problems with investing in big pharma stocks solely because of their promising pipelines. First, candidates could flop in clinical studies. AbbVie saw this happen earlier this year with cancer drug Rova-T. Second, it's also important to consider the status of drugmakers' current products.

Novartis, for example, faces generic competition for leukemia drug Gleevec and the potential for generic rivals for multiple sclerosis drug Gilenya. AstraZeneca already is experiencing declining sales for several of its older products, such as cholesterol drug Crestor and diabetes drug Onglyza.�Amgen likely will soon see biosimilar competition for its top-selling drug Neulasta, and its third-best-selling product Sensipar lost patent exclusivity in March.

All five of these big pharma companies have great pipelines. However, I think that only two of them have great growth prospects overall and are the best stocks to buy -- AbbVie and Celgene.